Floods will likely destroy crops, delay the harvest, and contribute to outbreaks of malaria and other waterborne diseases
Today’s river level at Belet Weyne is 6.30m which is 1.0m below the high flood risk level. Moderate to high rainfall is expected to continue within the Shabelle River basin in the coming week in both Somalia and the Ethiopia highlands.
As a result, river levels are expected to remain high, posing additional high risk of flooding especially in the lower reaches where the river embankments are weak. Consequently, this changes the flood risk from moderate to high along the Shabelle River. The areas to watch closely for flooding include Mahadey Weyne, Jowhar, Awdegle and Kurtunwaarey.
River levels are expected to increase slightly along the Juba river in the coming few days following the foreseen moderate rainfall within the catchment. However, there is no risk of flooding foreseen in the coming week along the Juba River unless there are areas with unclosed river breakages.
While all these factors have increased the risk of flooding, conditions can change quickly and the outlook is still very dependent on weather conditions and measures taken to contain potential river breakages.
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